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Rusija će biti sve agresivnija u naredne dvije godine

 
 
Za Rusiju će naredne dvije godine biti kritične, jer pad cijene sirove nafte prazni već prenapregnut ruski državni proračun, ocjenjuje američki ekspert George Friedman. Zbog takvih ekonomskih prilika zemlja bi mogla da doživi krah kakav se dogodio i Sovjetskom Savezu 1991. godine, smatra ovaj geopolitički ekspert.
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
George Friedman
 
On je za portal "Mauldin Economics" rekao kako svoju prognozu temelji na nedavnoj odluci Moskve da obustavi strane pozajmice koje su, kako navodi, jedno od glavnih sredstava ruskog predsjednika Vladimira Putina da širom svijeta održi privid ruske moći.
- To bi Rusiju moglo koštati utjecaja. Što je još gore, njezini bivši klijenti bi se mogli okrenuti Sjedinjenim Američkim Državama za pomoć - kaže Friedman, koji je i osnivač obavještajne korporacije Stratfor.
Taj se potez, smatra on, ne može sakriti od ruske javnosti, među kojom se Putin svojski trudi da zadrži nacionalni duh tako što, na primjer, intervenira u sirijskom sukobu.
 
- Činjenica da Putin dopušta da javnost vidi ovu slabost nagovještava, zapravo, u koliko je lošem stanju proračun - primjećuje Friedman. On je uvjeren da će Rusija biti sve agresivnija u naredne dvije godine budući, kako kaže, Putin pokušava skrenuti pažnju s domaće ekonomije, prenosi B92. U tome ruski predsjednik na kraju neće uspjeti, ali je za sada "opasniji nego ikada", ocjenjuje Friedman. Pitajući se kako bi Rusija izgledala bez Putina, američki ekspert kaže da se ne bi mnogo promijenila pošto, kako navodi, Putin ne vodi vladu sam. Putin je, prema njegovim riječima, samo "vidljivo lice" sigurnosne službe FSB koja, u stvari, vlada Rusijom.
- U slučaju da se Putinu nešto desi, neko drugi iz FSB-a će preuzeti kontrolu. Tko god da je na vlasti, Rusija će ostati glavna geopolitička briga i potencijalno žarište - zaključuje Friedman.
 

DŽ. Č., Dnevni avaz

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